Posted in GRAMMY Awards, Song of the Year

57th GRAMMYs: Odds for Song of the Year

soty-predictions

The race for Song of the Year is tight. Four of the nominated songs are also in the race for Record of the Year. Furthermore, there are three songs (Chandelier, Take Me to Church, and Stay with Me) with winning potential. And as for the other two, everybody is wondering how they got in there.

With the exception of Max Martin and Taylor Swift, all the other nominated songwriters are competing for the very first time in this category.

Let’s now take a look at the odds for each of the nominees. They are listed in order of likelihood of winning:

01. Chandelier by Sia and Jesse Shatkin (Sia)

“Chandelier”, written by Sia and Jesse Shatkin, is the favourite to  take this award. It is currently leading the odds at GoldDerby and Billboard. And, it is possibly the best written song among the nominees. Sia is a well-known songwriter who has worked with the high court of pop music (Madonna, Britney Spears, Rihanna). However, it is her own sad dance tune that has taken her to stardom and possibly to the path for her first GRAMMY.

02. Take Me to Church by Andrew Hozier-Byrne (Hozier)

The other song that represents a thread to “Chandelier” is “Take Me to Church” by Irish singer-songwriter Andrew Hozier-Byrne, aka Hozier. The bluesy indie-rock tune has been considered one of the best songs of the year. What could prevent Hozier from taking the prize is the fact that this is his sole nomination and it is quite rare for somebody to win in the general field with only one nomination.

03. Stay with Me by James Napier, Sam Smith and William Phillips (Sam Smith)

“Stay with Me” is the front-runner for Record of the Year. However, it is facing more competition in this category. Furthermore, many panelists believe that Sam Smith won’t sweep all of the awards he’s been nominated for. Others claim that this song is too ‘Adele-like’ and that could hurt its chances. The three songwriters, Smith, James Napier and William Phillips, are debuting in the GRAMMYs.

04. Shake It Off by Max Martin, Shellback and Taylor Swift (Taylor Swift)

NARAS showed a lot of love to Taylor Swift by nominating her three times without an eligible album. However, this might not be her year. “Shake It Off” is the type of bubblegum pop song that easily gets nominated due to its success but it is highly unlikely that it can win the award. However, Taylor Swift and Max Martin are the only songwriters that have been nominated before. Max Martin did it twice in 2000 for The Backstreet Boy’s “I Want it that Way” and last year for Katy Perry’s “Roar”. Swift was nominated in 2010 for her hit single “You Belong with Me”. Shellback, the other songwriter, is in for the first time.

Swift has won three songwriter’s award including Best Country Song twice in 2010 for “White Horse” and in 2012 for “Mean”, as well as the Best Song Written for Visual Media for “Safe & Sound” from The Hunger Games.

05. All About that Bass by Kevin Kadish and Meghan Trainor (Meghan Trainor)

For cheesy pop songs like “All About that Bass” their nomination is their award. Therefore, this one stands no chance at winning. The reason why it was nominated probably has to do with its lyrical content about body acceptance and its throwback sound. Both songwriters, Meghan Trainor and Kevin Kadish are nominated for the first time.

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